Emerging Companies: TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE)

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Published 19-JUL-2013 00:00 A.M.

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1 minute read

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Overview: TechnologyOne Ltd ("TNE", "the Company") is an integrated developer and distributor of enterprise software for the Government, financial services, education, health, and the utilities sectors. It was established in 1987 and has been continually profitable since 1992. We have maintained coverage for its strong balance sheet and history of profit growth. Our last advice was a ‘hold’ recommendation at $1.40/sh in January. With the share price rising in subsequent trade, we consider whether the outlook has improved?

Catalysts: Since its 1999 listing, revenue and earnings have increased every year bar two at double-digit rates. Management has forecast another strong result for FY13 and we expect a reversal of a decade-long trend of margin contraction to fuel further growth. Its strong cash flow, balance sheet, and expanding cash reserves create scope for special dividends.

Hurdles: Recent profit growth has coincided with a contraction in pre-tax margins from 25% to 18%. To reverse the trend management is targeting lower growth in R&D spend, which could impact innovation. As a degree of growth is reflected in the Company’s present valuation, a modest deterioration in its financial performance could adversely impact the stock price. Major shareholdings of founding Director impact trading liquidity in the stock.

Investment View: Whilst TNE’s present valuation incorporates a degree of further growth, the Company commands a strong financial position, and management has a track record of delivering value. Recent capital spending on new local and offshore R&D facilities should facilitate cost control and ongoing innovation. As benefits of the margin focus become salient, we are upgrading our view to ‘buy’.



General Information Only

S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (S3, ‘we’, ‘us’, ‘our’) (CAR No. 433913) is a corporate authorised representative of LeMessurier Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 296877). The information contained in this article is general information and is for informational purposes only. Any advice is general advice only. Any advice contained in this article does not constitute personal advice and S3 has not taken into consideration your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Please seek your own independent professional advice before making any financial investment decision. Those persons acting upon information contained in this article do so entirely at their own risk.

Conflicts of Interest Notice

S3 and its associated entities may hold investments in companies featured in its articles, including through being paid in the securities of the companies we provide commentary on. We disclose the securities held in relation to a particular company that we provide commentary on. Refer to our Disclosure Policy for information on our self-imposed trading blackouts, hold conditions and de-risking (sell conditions) which seek to mitigate against any potential conflicts of interest.

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The information contained in this article is current as at the publication date. At the time of publishing, the information contained in this article is based on sources which are available in the public domain that we consider to be reliable, and our own analysis of those sources. The views of the author may not reflect the views of the AFSL holder. Any decision by you to purchase securities in the companies featured in this article should be done so after you have sought your own independent professional advice regarding this information and made your own inquiries as to the validity of any information in this article.

Any forward-looking statements contained in this article are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause actual results or performance of companies featured to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this article. S3 cannot and does not give any assurance that the results or performance expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements contained in this article will actually occur and readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

This article may include references to our past investing performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of our future investing performance.

 

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