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Emerging Companies: iiNet Limited (ASX: IIN)

Published 06-MAR-2014 00:00 A.M.

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2 minute read

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Overview: iiNet Limited ("iiNet", the Company") is an Australian provider of telecommunications and media services. It is the country’s second-largest DSL Internet Service Provider, supporting over 1.7 million broadband, telephony, and Internet Protocol TV services. We initiated coverage in July 2012 at $3.24 with a ‘buy’ recommendation for its strong growth outlook. Our last advice was a ‘hold’ recommendation in Mar 2013 at $5.19.

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Catalysts: iiNet has a strong earnings trajectory, delivering its fourth consecutive period of growth in 1H14. With revenue up 4% to $493m and Earnings Per Share up 19% to 19.4c, the Company is demonstrating attractive operating leverage. The ongoing integration of three acquisitions worth $225m during the last two years is realising projected synergies, creating a strong platform for iiNet to deliver future organic growth strategies. Supported by its Fetch TV platform, the Company aims to increase Products per Customer from current levels of 2.24 to 3. A shift towards organic growth could reduce capital spend and financing costs, supporting higher dividend payouts.

Hurdle: With an NBN market share of 25%, iiNet is exposed to changes in the scale of Government investment in the industry. As iiNet’s earnings multiple represents a premium to market averages, a degree of future earnings growth appears to be captured in the stock price, creating downside risk if its fundamentals were to change.

Investment View: iiNet offers exposure to rising digital media and data consumption, supported by sound fundamentals. We are attracted to its earnings growth trajectory and a strong record of free cash generation. With earnings leverage and the prospect of higher dividend payouts expected to drive capital growth, we are upgrading our view to ‘buy’.

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General Information Only

S3 Consortium Pty Ltd (S3, ‘we’, ‘us’, ‘our’) (CAR No. 433913) is a corporate authorised representative of LeMessurier Securities Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 296877). The information contained in this article is general information and is for informational purposes only. Any advice is general advice only. Any advice contained in this article does not constitute personal advice and S3 has not taken into consideration your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Please seek your own independent professional advice before making any financial investment decision. Those persons acting upon information contained in this article do so entirely at their own risk.

Conflicts of Interest Notice

S3 and its associated entities may hold investments in companies featured in its articles, including through being paid in the securities of the companies we provide commentary on. We disclose the securities held in relation to a particular company that we provide commentary on. Refer to our Disclosure Policy for information on our self-imposed trading blackouts, hold conditions and de-risking (sell conditions) which seek to mitigate against any potential conflicts of interest.

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The information contained in this article is current as at the publication date. At the time of publishing, the information contained in this article is based on sources which are available in the public domain that we consider to be reliable, and our own analysis of those sources. The views of the author may not reflect the views of the AFSL holder. Any decision by you to purchase securities in the companies featured in this article should be done so after you have sought your own independent professional advice regarding this information and made your own inquiries as to the validity of any information in this article.

Any forward-looking statements contained in this article are not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause actual results or performance of companies featured to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this article. S3 cannot and does not give any assurance that the results or performance expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements contained in this article will actually occur and readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

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